Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.590178 0.761791 0.955854 1.188868 1.458373 1.757734 2.112804
2025-09-07 0.375693 0.594257 0.873764 1.244980 1.712779 2.271140 2.976120
2025-09-14 0.238014 0.467720 0.799922 1.283409 1.938154 2.765154 3.859187
2025-09-21 0.146574 0.366419 0.727412 1.300022 2.125985 3.219517 4.721004
2025-09-28 0.082552 0.275901 0.641418 1.273797 2.242033 3.579477 5.476336
2025-10-05 0.049153 0.222658 0.597770 1.297574 2.422637 4.029379 6.365202
2025-10-12 0.027228 0.177467 0.552666 1.306526 2.574953 4.441670 7.215089
2025-10-19 0.011986 0.131324 0.487556 1.265552 2.639624 4.725312 7.892598
2025-10-26 0.004482 0.097633 0.435080 1.234816 2.712264 5.017967 8.587276
2025-11-02 0.001550 0.077396 0.406840 1.244123 2.848623 5.408189 9.430070
2025-11-09 0.000202 0.055055 0.359555 1.203170 2.890927 5.651805 10.063458
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.047466 0.355994 1.256280 3.102688 6.166153 11.107192
2025-11-23 NaN 0.036004 0.331515 1.258820 3.225484 6.550242 11.978599
2025-11-30 NaN 0.032592 0.338641 1.338773 3.498666 7.186644 13.246818
2025-12-07 NaN 0.027554 0.334780 1.390390 3.720417 7.746324 14.412124
2025-12-14 NaN 0.021643 0.321038 1.413684 3.887689 8.220971 15.457895
2025-12-21 NaN 0.014681 0.291762 1.388756 3.956294 8.532262 16.258249
2025-12-28 NaN 0.011318 0.281701 1.415455 4.129574 9.023360 17.345801
2026-01-04 NaN 0.008154 0.267180 1.425703 4.268187 9.457866 18.351646
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004615 0.237650 1.382541 4.290192 9.690985 19.044110
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002470 0.213576 1.350046 4.330938 9.955739 19.789751
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001512 0.202769 1.360036 4.464574 10.386411 20.806831
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000569 0.178981 1.316520 4.474203 10.595464 21.470201